If the US Congressional Election were held today, what would be the outcome? A striking question that one cannot answer with any given certainty nor without stating opinion is exactly how many seats would be lost or gained by the party in power. Fortunately, we have a statistic that can give us more scientific insight and can answer this question objectively.
Based on a 71% correlation between presidential approval rating and congressional seats lost by election, an econometric regression analysis has provided us the following:
If the election were held today, November 8, 2009, based on a 51.5% presidential approval rating the Democratic Party will LOOSE 24 +/- 15 (-39 to -9) seats considering a 95% confidence interval.
Reference:
"President/Congress Correlation Metric"
CA Analytics a division of
CA Evans Corporation of Delaware
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A truly happy person is one who can enjoy the scenery on a detour. ....................................................
人生最大的榮耀，不是永遠不敗，而是屢仆屢戰..................................................
成功等於目前，其他都是這句話的註解。........................................
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來幫推 你個blog影d相真係好靚,係我至愛~ .........................
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i consder your artical is so nice!........................................
以簡單的行為愉悅他人的心靈，勝過千人低頭禱告。........................................
文章很棒~感謝!!..................................................
成功多屬於那些很快做出決定，卻又不輕易變更的人。而失敗也經常屬於那些很難做出決定，卻又經常變更的人.............................................
Never hesitate to hold out your hand; never hesitate to accept the outstretched hand of another...................................................
感謝分享好的作品~~.........................
很喜歡你的blog哦...加油唷 ..................................................
思想與理論，貴呼先於行動，但行動較思想或理論更高貴........................................
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Never put off till tomorrow what may be done today...................................................................
初次造訪，安安^^.................................................................
生存乃是不斷地在內心與靈魂交戰；寫作是坐著審判自己。......................................................................
當一個人內心能容納兩樣相互衝突的東西，這個人便開始變得有價值了。............................................................
人有兩眼一舌，是為了觀察倍於說話的緣故。............................................................
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憤怒，是片刻的瘋狂。..................................................
要用心經營哦~~祝福你~~
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先將一個人的生活過好，才有能力過好兩個人的生活................................................
聽著音樂逛BLOG~~享受！！我不想上班了啦…..................................................................
Man is not made for defeat. A mean can be destroyed but not defeated..................................................................
快下班囉~來幫你加油~~..................................................................
凡事三思而行，跑得太快是會滑倒的。..................................................
時間就是塑造生命的材料。．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．
愛情是盲目的，但婚姻恢復了它的視力。..................................................................
教育的目的，不在應該思考什麼，而是教吾人怎樣思考......................................................................
困難的不在於新概念，而在於逃避舊有的概念。......................................................................
生命如夏花洵爛；死如秋葉之靜美。........................................． ........................
生命如夏花洵爛；死如秋葉之靜美。........................................． ........................
成功可招引朋友,挫敗可考驗朋友......................................................................
教育的目的，不在應該思考什麼，而是教吾人怎樣思考......................................................................
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